Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009025 0.010652 0.012616 0.015200 0.018576 0.022926 0.029119
2025-09-07 0.006771 0.008606 0.011075 0.014766 0.020393 0.029125 0.044848
2025-09-14 0.005503 0.007313 0.009914 0.014141 0.021315 0.034121 0.062236
2025-09-21 0.004803 0.006610 0.009353 0.014129 0.023044 0.041209 0.090280
2025-09-28 0.004416 0.006277 0.009246 0.014778 0.026144 0.052873 0.145808
2025-10-05 0.004221 0.006193 0.009503 0.016117 0.031212 0.073257 0.279785
2025-10-12 0.003944 0.005927 0.009386 0.016691 0.034878 0.093809 0.512461
2025-10-19 0.003609 0.005514 0.008928 0.016428 0.036344 0.109111 0.842107
2025-10-26 0.003373 0.005241 0.008684 0.016567 0.039028 0.133357 1.695539
2025-11-02 0.003123 0.004914 0.008283 0.016247 0.040223 0.153338 3.336229
2025-11-09 0.002840 0.004499 0.007656 0.015247 0.038817 0.157850 5.076902
2025-11-16 0.002614 0.004169 0.007162 0.014490 0.037990 0.165753 8.954564
2025-11-23 0.002485 0.004025 0.007067 0.014829 0.041695 0.217561 114.905992
2025-11-30 0.002305 0.003770 0.006710 0.014410 0.042421 0.251427 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002133 0.003513 0.006317 0.013805 0.042112 0.277147 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002022 0.003366 0.006146 0.013794 0.044474 0.348586 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001965 0.003318 0.006188 0.014421 0.050445 0.527326 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001948 0.003350 0.006419 0.015715 0.061492 1.032951 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001890 0.003289 0.006420 0.016269 0.069174 1.791439 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001796 0.003146 0.006202 0.016015 0.071359 2.461924 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001728 0.003054 0.006099 0.016150 0.076756 4.216659 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001646 0.002924 0.005888 0.015841 0.078490 6.168845 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001543 0.002741 0.005523 0.014874 0.073932 5.982744 NaN